The first attempt to conduct a census in Turkey was made in 1844 by Rıza Pasha, the minister of war. It showed that there were some 2 million Armenians in Asiatic Turkey.
In 1867, the Turkish government commissioned publication of a volume on Turkey for the Universal Exposition in Paris. It, too, indicated that there were 2 million Armenians in Asia Minor and another 400,000 in European Turkey.
On the eve of the Congress of Berlin, the Patriarchate drew up a preliminary balance based on the empire’s official Salname for the year 1294 of the Hegira (1878). It put the number of Armenians living in the Ottoman Empire in this period at 3 million: 400,000 in European Turkey (primarily in Constantinople, Thrace, Bulgaria, and Rumania); 600,000 in western Asia Minor (the vilayets of Angora, Aydın/ Smyrna, Konya, Adana, Aleppo, the mutesariflik of Ismit, etc.); 670,000 in the vilayets of Sıvas, Trebizond, Kayseri, and (southern) Dyarbekir; 1,330,000 on the Armenian plateau – that is, in the vilayets of Erzerum (excluding the regions annexed by Russia) and Van – as well as the northern part of the vilayet of Dyarbekir, comprising the districts of Harput, Eğin, Arapkir, and Arğana on the one hand and, on the other, the northern part of the sancak of Siirt, comprising the Sasun, Şirvan, and Hizan districts.
Population Erzerum and Van Dyarbekir (North) Total
Armenians 1,150,000 180,000 1,330,000
Turks 400,000 130,000 530,000
Kurds 80,000 40,000 120,000
Greeks 5,000 – 5,000
Chald-Syriacs14,000 8,000 22,000
Zazas 35,000 2,300 37,300
Yezidis 13,000 2,000 15,000
Gypsies 3,000 – 3,000
Total 1,700,000 362,300 2,062,300
Oddly, the “official” census results published by Kemal Karpat provide radically different estimates for the years 1881/82–1893, a period during which the administrative organization of the Armenian provinces was considerably modified: almost all the former mutesarifliks of Chaldir, Kars and Bayazid now came under Russian rule, while the boundaries of the eyalets of Erzerum and Dyarbekir were redrawn.
According to these documents, the Armenian population was distributed as follows: there were 179,645 Armenians in European Turkey (156,032 of them in Constantinople, 270,183 in western Asia Minor – the vilayets of Angora, Aydın, Konya, Adana, and Aleppo, the mutesariflik of Ismit, and elsewhere); 227,202 in the vilayets of Sıvas, Trebizond, and Dyarbekir (not including the northern part of the Dyarbekir vilayet) and the sancak of Kayseri; and 371,113 in Erzerum, Bitlis, Van, Harput, and the northern part of the vilayet of Dyarbekir. The Armenian population of the five vilayets was divided up as follows:
Erzerum 107,868
Bitlis 106,306
Dyarbekir 22,464
Harput 75,093
Van 59,382
Total 371,113
Muslims
Erzerum 445,548
Bitlis 167,054
Dyarbekir 101,065
Harput 300,188
Van 54,582
Total 1,068,437
Alongside these figures, we may range two other sets of statistics obtained in the same period. First, those of the Armenian Patriarchate, which date from 1878/79:
Provinces Armenians
Erzerum 280,000
Bitlis 250,000
Dyarbekir 150,000
Harput 270,000
Van 400,000
Total 1,350,000
Second, Cuinet’s statistics, culled around 1890 from the Salname and other documents furnished by the Ottoman administration:
Population Erzerum Bitlis Dyarbekir Harput Van Total
Armenians 135,087 131,390 83,226 69,718 80,000 499,421
Muslims 500,782 257,863 388,644 504,366 241,000 1,892,655
Gr. and Syr. 3,725 210 53,420 650 99,785 157,790
Total 639,594 389,463 525,290 574,734 420,785 2,549,866
An examination of the figures presented above reveals wide disparities. Thus, from 1844 to 1867, official Turkish sources affirm that there were 2,400,000 Armenians living in the empire, with 2,000,000 of them in Asiatic Turkey. In the census carried out between 1881 and 1893, however, the number of Armenians suddenly falls by one-half, to 1,048,143 (156,032 of them in Constantinople). Unless we assume that these figures resulted from political manipulation, it is hard to explain so great a difference from one census to the next, even if we take into account the 1878 loss of Kars and Ardahan and the exodus of several tens of thousands of Ottoman Armenians to Russia.
The Salname of 1294/1878 that the Armenian Patriarchate presented to the Congress of Berlin was a no less official Ottoman document. Produced for economic purposes before these “adjustments” had been made, it would seem to reflect the demographic evolution of the region much better: it puts the number of Armenians in Turkey at 3 million. This figure indicates a 25 per cent population increase over 30 years, as opposed to the decrease of 50 per cent reported in the other official Ottoman statistics.
Similarly, for the Armenian plateau as we have defined it above, the Ottoman census of 1881–93 gives figures of 1,068,437 Muslims and 371,113 Armenians out of a total population of 1,500,000, whereas the statistics published in the 1294/1878 Salname presented by the Patriarchate in Berlin are quite different: they show 1,330,000 Armenians, 650,000 Kurds and Turks, 27,000 Greeks and Christian Syriacs, and 55,300 Zazas, Yezidis, and Gypsies.
If we put Turks, Kurds, Zazas, Yezidis, and Gypsies in the same category – although the Gypsies were often Christians – as the Ottoman administration probably did, then we arrive at a figure of 705,300 out of a total 2,062,300 inhabitants. But we still fall far short of the total, even when we compare the Ottoman census to that conducted by the Patriarchate in 1882.
The Patriarchate’s census, which takes into account the fact that the Armenians of Kars and Ardahan had come under Russian rule in 1878, indicates that 1,350,000 Armenians were still living in the eastern provinces in this period. Attentive examination of Salaheddin Bey’s statistics throws some light on this question. They state that a total of 13,223,000 Muslims lived in all of Asiatic Turkey out of a total population of 16,383,000.
Of this total, 10,907,000 people lived in western and central Anatolia and Cyprus – 1,000,000 were Greek, 80,000 Jewish, 700,000 Armenian, and 9,127,000 Muslim. In Syria and Iraq, 2,650,000 Arabs, Turks, Druze, and Kurds lived side by side with 100,000 Christians, while 900,000 Arabs inhabited the Hejaz and Yemen.
If we add up these figures, it appears that, of the 13,223,000 Muslims said to be living in Ottoman Asia, 12,677,000 lived outside the boundaries of the “Anatolian East,” which, according to Salaheddin Bey, had a total population of 1,906,000. Subtracting, we find that this province, comprising the vilayets of Van, Erzerum, Kurdistan, and Harput, was inhabited by 1,300,000 Armenians, 60,000 other Christians, and 546,000 Kurds, Turks, Turkomans, Çerkez, and so on.
The Ottoman statistics in the 1294/1878 Salname submitted by the Armenian patriarch to the Congress of Berlin differ only slightly from these figures. They show a total of 1,330,000 Armenians, 650,000 Kurds, Turks, and so on, as well as 82,000 people belonging to diverse other groups (taking only northern Kurdistan in the vilayet of Dyarbekir into account). The census carried out by the Patriarchate in 1882 arrived at a similar result: it indicated that 1,350,000 Armenians were living in this region.
Once again, the official Salnames vouch for the credibility of the Armenians’ censuses. The 1298/1882 Salname published the state budget figures for 1296/1880 as established by the Council of Ministers. This document indicated that the tax known as the bedeliaskeri, paid by all non-Muslim males between the ages of 15 and 60, showed an annual yield of 462,870 Turkish pounds for all of Turkey.
However, the Council of Ministers estimated, according to the same document, that this tax should have yielded twice as much. Implicitly, the state thus acknowledged that it collected this tax from only half of its non-Muslim population – the half reported in its census. While it is an established fact that the official statistics were falsified, it is important to determine the extent of the falsification. In the case to hand, only an examination of all the regions concerned would allow us to establish the actual dimensions of the fraud. Such an examination could, for example, provide irrefutable evidence of a substantial Armenian population, which the 1891–93 Ottoman census ignores or minimizes.
Among the obvious falsifications, we can cite the Ottoman figures for Scutari, which indicate that no Armenians lived in the area,13 even though it is known that entire neighborhoods were inhabited by these Christians and that there were many churches and schools there.14 In Mersin, in the heart of Cilicia, the Ottomans counted 438 Armenians and 19,737 “Muslims.”15 In the kaza of Zyr, near Angora, the Turkish census put the number of Armenians at 2,214, although the village of Stanoz alone, inhabited exclusively by Armenians, had a population of 3,000.
Note- this chapter is from Raymond Kévorkian’s book ARMENIAN GENOCIDE: A Complete History, pp. 267-269.
in photo – Karin/Erzurum
